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Some musings on things

Pokie fraud investigation shows New Zealand needs to get better at spotting risk before it becomes fraud

20/8/2026

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This article was published today (20 August 2026).  I have prepared this press release as a response (with a little help)

The Department of Internal Affairs’ largest-ever gambling prosecution should be a catalyst for a much broader rethink of how New Zealand monitors the $340 million pokie grant system, says independent grant analyst Bridget Frame.

Operation Indago has resulted in 23 people facing more than 500 charges following an investigation into six charities and incorporated societies allegedly used to obtain $3.2 million in gambling grant funding for personal gain. DIA describes the investigation as “mammoth and complex”.

The allegations are serious. But for Frame, who has spent more than a decade analysing publicly available pokie grant data, the bigger question is why New Zealand is relying on major investigations to uncover problems that may be identifiable much earlier through better use of data.

“The question isn’t whether DIA should investigate fraud. Of course it should. The question is whether we can get better at identifying the warning signs before we need a major investigation at all.”


The data is already telling us where to look

New Zealand’s pokie grant system is unusually transparent in some respects. Grant-making data is publicly available, as are charity and incorporated society records, financial accounts and information about gambling venues.

Yet these datasets largely sit in separate places.

Frame’s own analysis has found a range of indicators that could be used to identify organisations requiring additional scrutiny.

These include:
  • organisations with three or fewer trustees;
  • newly established organisations receiving multiple grants;
  • organisations receiving unusually frequent grants from the same grant-maker;
  • gaps or inconsistencies in financial documentation;
  • organisations that have changed names;
  • registered addresses that are private dwellings or gambling venues;
  • organisations sharing addresses or principals with other flagged organisations;
  • relationships between an organisation’s principals and gambling venues or operators; and
  • organisations heavily dependent on a single pokie funder.

None of these indicators proves wrongdoing.

That is precisely the point.

They are risk indicators that could allow a grant-maker or regulator to ask better questions before money is distributed — rather than discovering problems after millions of dollars have been paid out.

Frame has been using publicly available data to do exactly this kind of analysis for years, including benchmarking organisations against one another and examining relationships between grant recipients, grant-makers and venues. More recently, this has included building a database of venue ownership and company relationships because the information required to assess those relationships is not readily available in one place.


We shouldn’t need to be detectives

“The frustrating thing is that much of this isn’t particularly sophisticated,” says Frame.

“With a decent database and some sensible rules, you can identify organisations that look unusual and then have a human look at them.

“You don’t need to accuse anyone of anything. You simply need to ask: is this normal?”

That is particularly important in a system distributing hundreds of millions of dollars.

In 2025, Class 4 operators distributed approximately $340 million to New Zealand community organisations, while Government received around $300 million in gambling taxes and duties. There were more than 42,000 grant applications involving approximately 9,700 organisations.

At that scale, relying primarily on manual assessment and complaints is not an efficient risk-management strategy.


Prevention is cheaper than investigation

Operation Indago demonstrates the potential consequences of discovering problems late.
The investigation involved six organisations, 23 defendants and more than 500 charges. DIA describes it as its largest-ever prosecution.

The cost is not simply the $3.2 million allegedly obtained improperly.

There is the cost of investigation, prosecution and court processes. There is the regulatory time involved. And, most importantly, there is the opportunity cost to the communities that could otherwise have received the money.

“We shouldn’t measure the cost of fraud only by the amount that was taken,” says Frame. “We should also ask what it costs us to discover it after the event.”

A relatively modest investment in proactive data analysis could therefore pay for itself many times over.


The pokie system actually has some things going for it

This is not an argument for dismantling pokie funding.

In fact, one of the things that stands out from Frame’s analysis is that pokie grant-making has some significant advantages over other parts of New Zealand’s grant ecosystem.

It is relatively fast, reaches a very broad range of community organisations, has relatively simple application processes and operates with a high-trust model.

Those are worth preserving.

The problem is that high trust needs good risk management sitting underneath it.

Frame estimates the wider New Zealand grant-making ecosystem costs around $260 million a year. The objective should therefore be to improve integrity without simply adding another layer of administration to a system that already performs relatively efficiently.


From reactive enforcement to proactive risk management

The answer is not necessarily more people reading more applications.

It is better information.

A national risk-monitoring framework could bring together existing information about:
  • grant applications and payments;
  • organisations and their governance;
  • charity and incorporated society records;
  • financial information;
  • venue ownership;
  • relationships between people and organisations; and
  • historical grant-making patterns.

This could generate risk flags for further human review.

It could also allow grant-makers to benchmark recipients against comparable organisations.
That matters because a grant isn’t necessarily suspicious simply because it is large.

It may become interesting when it is large relative to the size, activity, income or characteristics of the organisation receiving it.

That is an area where benchmarking can be particularly useful.

Frame has previously used this approach to examine grant funding across sports and community organisations, including comparing grant funding with measures such as membership, activity and income.


An opportunity to modernise the system

The current investigation provides an opportunity to move beyond a cycle of complaint, investigation and prosecution.

There are three practical changes that could make a difference:

1. Introduce risk-based monitoring
Use existing grant, charity, company and venue data to identify unusual patterns and relationships for further review.

2. Improve information sharing
Create a more complete picture of organisations, people, grant-makers and venues rather than assessing each grant application in isolation.

3. Introduce independent oversight where significant concerns arise
Where credible concerns are raised about a grant-making process, an independent observer could provide additional assurance around proceeds committee decision-making.

These measures could strengthen the system without turning every grant application into a compliance exercise.


Protecting the money — and the system

New Zealand has effectively created a very large community funding mechanism through the gambling system.

The public has a legitimate interest in knowing that the money is going where it is intended, that grant-makers are making sound decisions and that organisations receiving funding are operating appropriately.

“The majority of pokie funding goes to legitimate community organisations doing good work,” says Frame.

“That’s exactly why we should be serious about protecting the system from the people who want to exploit it.”

Operation Indago shows that enforcement can find serious problems. The next step is making sure we get better at finding the warning signs before we need Operation Indago.
ENDS

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A once over lightly on We Care Community Trust

17/8/2026

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We Care Community Trust are relatively new in the pokie game.  They gave their very first grant in 2021 and last year gave away over $5m.  They have a financial year end that corresponds with the calendar year end (31 Dec).
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This growth has come from site acquisition.  At the end of every year I download data ex DIA which shows which pokie has which venue.  I then track the changes - including ownership of the specific venues.  When writing this I also looked at We Care's website and see there are 15 venues!  So that’s big growth in 2026: I’d expect to see over $7m granted in 2026.  Also remember that site acquisition happens over the year.  Note also that this growth comes at the expense of other pokies (Grassroots and Lion in particular): most councils have a sinking lid on pokies, which means there is very little opportunity for new venues in the system.   Shout out if you want some guidance on this.
Year
Number of Venues
Location of Venues
2021
1 venue
Bay of Plenty (1)
2022
5 venues
Auckland (1), Taranaki (1), Waikato (incl Thames) (1), Bay of Plenty (2)
2023
7 venues
Auckland (1), Taranaki (1), Waikato (incl Thames) (2), Bay of Plenty (3)
2024
9 venues
Auckland (2), Taranaki (1), Waikato (incl Thames) (2), Bay of Plenty (4)
2025
10 venues
Auckland (2) Hawkes’ Bay (1), Taranaki (1), Waikato (incl Thames) (2), Bay of Plenty (4)
2026
15 venues (source: current website)
Auckland (4) Hawkes’ Bay (1), Taranaki (1), Waikato (incl Thames) (3), Bay of Plenty (5), Manawatu (1)

Its interesting to compare where the money comes from and where it ends up.  Of course not all venues are the same: some produce large amounts of potential grants while others are less utilised.  If I look back to the 2025 system review I can see that We Care has a $32.8k productivity, which means that every machine in their network produces $32.8k of grants.  This compares well to the average of $29.3k – although somewhat shy of the most productive grant generator, Trillian at $43.2k per machine. 
 
They do state on their website that they want the grants to go back into the regions that generated them.  Some councils, particularly the smaller ones, have identified that grant money can flow out of their region.  Indeed I have written on this before.  

The chart below compares the actual grants given to specific regions the grant seeking entities are located to the amount that theoretically generated by those machines in the region, scaled back for the grants made to National bodies.  I have used the average We Care productivity to drive the theoretical number.  The actual grants per venue are not published: that would be commercially sensitive information.  What the chart shows is that Auckland does pretty well.  BoP looks ok, but Taranaki and Waikato could do better.  My hot take for grant seekers in Taranaki and Waikato is to apply for grants from this outfit.  You need to be sure to get your fair share. 

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On paper they have a fairly wide remit.  From their website:  We Care may make grants for:
  • Amateur sport
  • Youth development
  • Health and Welfare
  • Arts and Culture
  • Community Support
  • New Immigrants
So I've done my usual thing: downloaded their successful grants, cleaned them up and categorised them.  Since inception they have made 820 grants to 348 different organisations.  We can see four main areas of grants.  That makes a nice change: balance.
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If we really get into the weeds we can see some big licks of cash driving the above charts.  Below is a table showing the top fifteen recipients over all years and the number of grants received.
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Ambulance services are getting large amounts of grants from We Care getting 16% of total grants given since We Care started making grants.  Unfortunately they don’t disclose why various entities are getting grants: I would suspect its capital for ambulances.  I also find it pretty sad that Waipuna Hospice is so high on the list: I suspect this reflects the (somewhat broken) model of health funding.  

The New Zealand Sikh Community Tauranga Trust received $750k in 9 grants last year.  Latest accounts for this entity are not yet published, but this amount is higher than their annual income since inception, so I assume its capex.

Those who follow me know that there are a few flags I have around grant making.  This isn’t to say that the existence of any of these factors is a red flag (well, with the exception of point f) but with a combination of a couple then I’d suggest those with the power to investigate do their job.
  1. Charities with three or fewer trustees
  2. NGOs registered in the past 24 months
  3. NGOs with more than 2 grants from a single pokie in a year
  4. NGO with name changes
  5. NGO with registered address of private dwelling and rent as expense
  6. NGO with registered address of Class 4 venue and rent as expense
  7. NGO with principal associated with a venue or a pokie
  8. NGO has income from any one pokie at more than 50% of total income
There are two relatively new charities getting some good amounts of grant money. 

Do Good Charitable trust, a Rotorua based entity established November 2023 with one trustee.  Received $255,916 so far in 7 grants.

New Zealand Education & Creation Centre, an Auckland based entity established in June 2024 with two trustees: received $209,800 so far in 10 grants.  Most of this money I guess went to their rent: $154k in the first published year. 

I have then asked AI who the Trustees are and if they are related to each other.  Based on that answer it’s a family business.  A while ago I did pose this question to DIA who came back and said they have no concerns about this.  So its cool by the regulator, but what do you think?  How should we judge stewardship over grant funding by pokies?  I guess family foundations are all about the nepotism, but is that appropriate for pokies? 

I write about this stuff as believe that as need to understand where funding comes from, where it goes, and how it gets there.  These pokies have considerable stewardship over community funding.  As a citizenry we allow both those supplying money and those asking for money to operate, and as a community we need to ensure we have oversight over the organisations they choose to fund: are they operating efficiently?  Are they leveraging best practice?   Love to talk with you if you think this is at all interesting, and if you want to dive into the data a bit more than happy to do so. Check out my website http://www.delfi.co.nz/

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